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Campaign Management

Seasonality, or how we stopped panicking in January

Budget shaped to demand instead of to the calendar month.

Client
Northline Autos
Year
2026
Role
Media planning
Stack
Google Ads, Meta Ads, GA4
Plays from YouTube. Nothing loads from Google until you press play.
  • 3 yr Own data used
  • ±40% Weekly budget swing

01 The brief

Even monthly budgets in a business where two months of the year do most of the volume.

02 The brainstorm

Splitting a year of budget into twelve equal pieces is an accounting decision that has quietly become a marketing one at almost every small business I have worked with.

We pulled three years of their own sales data — not industry benchmarks — and found the demand curve was much spikier than the spend curve. So we underspent deliberately in the flat months and banked it.

The uncomfortable part is that the flat months then look like failure on a monthly report. We changed the report to a rolling twelve weeks so nobody had to defend a bad-looking March.

03 The build

A seasonality index built from their own transaction history, mapped to weekly budget caps with a manual override for stock issues.

04 The result

Same annual budget, materially more units, and far fewer emergency mid-month conversations.